USA vs Mexico :The two pre-tournament favorites are set to go head-to-head, as the United States and Mexico square off in Sunday’s Gold Cup championship match, where the USMNT could clinch their third Gold Cup title in ten years.
== MATCH INFO ==
CONCACAF – Gold Cup
Team : USA vs Mexico
Date : Sunday, July 7
Start Time : 9:00 Pm Et
Together, Mexico and the United States have won the previous nine Gold Cup championship, with the USA team owning 5 titles to Mexico’s 4 in that time frame. Three of these championship matchups saw these two teams meet, where Mexico earned a 2-1 advantage over their neighbors to the north.
Soccer odds currently favor the Mexican squad’s chances of lifting the trophy, with El Tricolor available at a -170 price. The United States is currently trading at +140, meaning that a $100 wager on the USMNT would offer a $140 payout should the boys in blue get the job done.
With the betting total set at 2.5 total goals, the odds currently suggest that the ‘Under’ -116 is the favored option.
“I don’t think that the US team has displayed that they want to, or know, how to play reserved,” shared soccer analyst Natalie Rydstrom of Sportsbook Review.
“These two teams have a fiery history and given the offensive nature they have displayed throughout the competition, I fully expect each side to come out looking for the back of the net. With 30 goals between them, I predict that the ‘both teams to score’ option is the best bet on the board at +100.
It goes without saying that a bet on both teams to score suggest that one predicts a final total of at least two total goals in the match, and Rydstrom banks on the projection with her next tip.
“A great market can be found on the Asian Handicap market of ‘Over 2 Goals’ at -154, meaning that should the game end with only two goals, bettors see a ‘push’ and all wagers are returned. But we secure a win if we see a total of three goals or more.”
Natalie went on to explain how this market offered the better value compared to the traditional ‘Over/Under’ market of 2.5 goals.
These two teams last met in 2018, where the USA walked away with a 1-0 victory in the friendly matchup thanks to a 70th minute goal from Tyler Adams. the goal came just minutes after Mexico’s Angel Zaldivar was sent off with a red card, leaving El Tricolor a man down for the remainder of the match.
Low scoring, defensive battles have become the trend, as four of the last five meetings between these two nations saw fewer than 2.5 total goals, with three of these matchups seeing goals from each side.
Both teams remain undefeated through their Gold Cup campaigns, with the United States boasting an impressive 15:1 goal balance in their run to the finals. The team made easy work of Guyana (4:0) and Trinidad & Tobago (6:0) but took their foot off the gas in their 1:0 victory over Panama, as they had already qualified to advance out of the group stages and on to the quarter-finals.
A 1:0 victory over the small nation of Curacao saw the USMNT advance to face a strong Jamaican squad in the semi-finals, where they conceded their first goal of the tournament, but ultimately netted three of their own to advance to the finals.
El Tricolor was off to hot start in the tournament, netting over 2.5 goals in each of their first three matches, but have since cooled off. The team only managed to score once in each of their final two matchups, and the Mexican squad had to rely on extra time to overcome Haiti in the semi-finals and penalty kicks to advance past the Costa Rican selection.
While the Gold Cup Final is sure to lose viewership due to the Women’s World Cup Final taking place later that evening, it likely offers the best opportunity for bettors looking to find an edge.
Currently SportsBetting.ag is offering the United States Women’s Team at -500 (bet $500 to win $100) in a matchup that oddsmakers see as one-sided. With the winners’ market offering little value, bettors are limited with their wagering options.